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Mathematical implications of the 125cc title battle

Mathematical implications of the 125cc title battle

Mathematical implications of the 125cc title battle

At high noon tomorrow the season long battle for the 2002 125cc World Championship will finally be resolved. Whether it will go to reigning World Champion Manuel Poggiali or challenger Arnaud Vincent will be decided in a 25 lap race at Valencia, which has no fewer than 240 possible result combinations. With Vincent holding an eight point advantage at the start of the race, 81.25% of those combinations are in his favour, with Poggiali holding 18.75%.

Vincent depends on himself. If he qualifies ahead of Poggiali he will clinch the title and can even finish behind him within eight points as a tie would tip the balance in favour of the Frenchman, who has a higher number of wins. Poggiali cannot tie the number of wins and tie on points, despite having won four compared to Vincent´s five, as Vincent would win the title with second place and concede a decisive nine points with third or lower.

Tags:
125cc, 2002, Gran Premio Marlboro de la Comunitat Valenciana

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