Just like in Moto2™, the 2020 Moto3™ World Championship title race has gone down to the wire and will be decided at the season finale. But who will claim the crown at the Grande Premio MEO de Portugal? Albert Arenas (Gaviota Aspar Team Moto3) leads Ai Ogura (Honda Team Asia) by eight points, with Tony Arbolino (Rivacold Snipers Team) 12 points adrift in P3.
But how can each rider take the title? motogp.com has crunched the numbers to see.
ALBERT ARENAS, CHAMPION IF…
- He finishes 1st or 2nd
- He finishes 3rd: Ogura doesn’t win
- He finishes 4th: Ogura or Arbolino don’t win
- He finishes 5th, 6th or 7th: Ogura doesn’t finish better than 3rd and Arbolino doesn’t win
- He finishes 8th: Ogura and Arbolino don’t finish better than 3rd
- He finishes 9th, 10th or 11th: Ogura doesn’t finish on the podium and Arbolino doesn’t finish better than 3rd
- He finishes 12th or 13th: Ogura doesn’t finish better than 5th and Arbolino doesn’t finish on the podium
- He finishes 14th: Ogura doesn’t finish better than 6th and Arbolino doesn’t finish on the podium
- He finishes 15th: Ogura doesn’t finish better than 7th and Arbolino doesn’t finish better than 5th
- He fails to score any points: Ogura doesn’t finish better than 8th and Arbolino doesn’t finish better than 5th
AI OGURA, CHAMPION IF…
- He wins: Arenas isn’t 2nd
- He’s 2nd: Arenas doesn’t finish better than 5th and Arbolino doesn’t win
- He finishes 3rd: Arenas finishes no better than 9th and Arbolino isn’t on the podium
- He finishes 4th: Arenas finishes no better than 12th and Arbolino doesn’t finish on the podium
- He finishes 5th: Arenas finishes no better than 14th and Arbolino isn’t on the podium
- He finishes 6th: Arenas finishes no better than 15th and Arbolino isn’t in the top four
- He finishes 7th: Arenas doesn’t score points and Arbolino isn’t in the top four
TONY ARBOLINO, CHAMPION IF…
- He wins: Arenas isn’t on the podium
- He’s 2nd: Arenas is 8th or lower and Ogura finishes no better than 3rd
- He’s 3rd: Arenas is 12th or lower and Ogura 4th (Arbolino and Ogura would have the same points, Arbolino would win on number of wins)
- He’s 4th: Arenas is 15th and Ogura is 6th or lower (Arbolino and Ogura would have the same points, Arbolino would win on number of wins)